Looks like the MJF has formally split. Gachhedar has gone ahead and registered a new party by the name of MJF-Nepal. I guess he has named the party after the guy who made him Deputy Prime Minister.
What are the implications of this split? What are some of the possibilities?
(1) The Madhav Nepal government lasts six months, and then either there is a new Maoist-led coalition, or a new all party, national consensus government.
(2) One of the two factions withers away. The healthy faction doubles in size.
(3) The momentum and leadership of the Madhesi Movement shifts to TMDP. The Sadbhavana has more room to grow.
(4) The Nepali Congress sees a revival in the Terai.
(5) The new space from the split is taken up by the Maoists who return with a bigger share of paraliamentary seats after the election next year.
(6) The two MJF factions become one again a few weeks later after Yadav and Gachhedar think with cooler heads.
(7) The Madhesi issues are well taken care of, since there is no going back on the political consciousness of the Madhesi people. But there remain many small Madhesi parties.
(8) The Nepali Congress shrinks even further after the election next year.
Right now there is no telling what the implications will be.
If I had to take a guess, I'd say Prachanda will be back in power in about six months or less, and the TMDP will see some major growth. (I Give Madhav Nepal Six Months) But don't count Upendra Yadav out just yet.
I am not worried about the Madhesi agenda. The people have woken up. Any party that wishes to expand in the Terai will have to carry the Madhesi agenda.
Koirala Has To Be Beat At His Own Game
MJF Will Emerge Stronger
I Give Madhav Nepal Six Months
Upendra Yadav Is Going To Lead The MJF In The New Government
The Army Issue Has To Be Discussed In The Parliament
MJF: No Harm Done
Upendra Yadav Should Be Leading The MJF Team In The New Government
Contents 2009
Contents 2008
Contents 2007
Contents 2006 (2)
Contents 2006
Contents 2005
MJF: Upendra Yadav Is The Leader
In The News
Trouble deepens in MJF Kantipur Online The meeting endorsed nine proposals including Gachhadar's expulsion as Parliamentary Party (PP) leader. ..... The CC decided to initiate disciplinary action against central leaders Rabindra Thakur, Nasir Siddhiki, Asha Chaturvedi and Sanjay Sah for conspiring to break the party. ....... nominated Krishnadev Yadav, Arjun Thapa, B.P. Yadav, Umeshlal Das and Jagadish Bahadur Singh as CC members. ........ in Kathmandu, the Gachhadar-led faction formed a five-member task force to negotiate with CPN-UML and Nepali Congress on portfolio division. ...... A three-member team was named to take ahead the process of consultation with other Madhesi parties. The meeting also asked all former MJF members who had broken away from the party to return.
Gachhadhar claims being official MJF leader E Kantipur
MPs dispute over Hindi language Republica lawmakers belonging to Madhes-based parties argued that Hindi should be named as official language in the new constitution while the parliamentarians from other political parties strongly protested the proposal........ Muga Lal Yadav of Madhesi People´s Rights Forum (MPRF) and Gauri Mahato Koiri of Sadbhavana Party (SP), among others, had proposed to name Hindi as one of the official languages of Nepal in the constitution, arguing that people living in the Tarai do not understand Nepali language properly. ......... sharply divided over whether to include the term ´people´s war´ in the new constitution ....... Of the total 32 CA members present at the committee meeting, 19 voted in favor of using the term ´armed conflict´
Gachchhadar claims majority in CC, stakes claim for being official Republica CC members and ex-governor of Nepal Rastra Bank Tilak Rawal who was in neutral category on Monday said he was with the deputy prime minister.
MJF banda paralyses life in Tarai Kantipur Online
MPRF leaders from hilly districts press for unity Republica The party´s presidents from some hilly districts joined the campaign led by Rawal. ....... The party´s presidents from Kavre, Sindhupalchowk, Dolakha, Mugu and Achham districts signed the statement.
Building a coalition of hope E Kantipur The Madhesi Janadhikar Forum did not have any semblance of adopting party procedures in the way it selected its representatives to the coalition. The name notwithstanding, this coalition is anything but democratic. But the problem is not in the name alone. The current coalition was cobbled together for the expedient purpose of ousting the Maoists rather than for any concrete positive programme. The Maoists' apparent "state capture" was a lame ruse in the whole game. The fact is that the Kathmandu-style politics reminiscent of the coalition era in the 1990s has made an unapologetic comeback. Added to this is the visibly vested interest of top army generals, the Indian and other foreign establishments and the Kathmandu elite in perpetuating the existing state and social structure. Time will show the true picture, but the ongoing wrangling inside all the coalition parties over "plum" portfolios is a clear indication that the parties are hell-bent on perpetuating the politics of loot.
Fight on for party's control in MPRF Republica
MJF for ousting expelled-leaders from CA, govt Kantipur Online
Gachhadar mantra to keep MJF intact E Kantipur Gachhadar said joining the government under his leadership is the only option left for party Chairman Upendra Yadav to rule out a split in the party.
Gachhadar registers new party Himalayan Times
Upendra Yadav is a 'traitor':Beg ... She said the expulsion of seven senior leaders of the party including Bijay Kumar Gachhadar and Sharad Singh Bhandari was motivated by his own vested interests, adding that the split of the party has shattered the dreams of entire Madhesi martyrs. ...... She also revealed that Yadav had been making frequent telephone calls to lure her to his faction, adding that Yadav was crooked and corrupt person. ...... The MJF Parsa chairman Birendra Yadav and district working committee members were present on the occasion.
MJF factions exchange blows Yadav’s faction claimed that of the 35 central working committee members, 29 attended Wednesday's meeting. The meeting went on till late Wednesday evening. ..... Gachhadar wants six berths for his party.
MJF CC meeting in Birgunj Talking to journalists before the meeting, chairman Yadav accused Girija Prasad Koirala, chairman of Nepali Congress (NC) and Prime Minister Madhav Kumar Nepal of splitting his party and being agents of India. The party leader and Deputy Prime Minister Bijaya Kumar Gachchhadar and his supporters registered a new party Madheshi Janaadhikar Forum-Nepal in the Election Commission on Tuesday. Hence the fourth big party in the Constitution Assembly (CA) was officially divided on Tuesday.
End of Madhesi Forum: Koirala, Nepal are Indian agents, Yadav Telegraphnepal.com The Birgunj meeting began right at 12:00 noon where some 29 CC members were present out of the total 35 CC members. ..... in Kathmandu, the meeting organized by the Gachedhar Faction declared that with the Yadav faction sacking some ten central committee members the party stands formally divided now.
Nepal: Victim of wrangling in Madhesi Forum Telegraphnepal.com The Madhesi Janaadhikar Forum President Mr. Upendra Yadav, who was all set to lead the MJF delegation in the UML led government, got stunned when the party’s leader of the CA delegation Mr. Bijaya Kumar Gacchedhar unilaterally took the decision that he will lead the MJF and was thus later sworn-in as the deputy prime minister of the country on June 4, 2009....Mr. Yadav categorically blamed the Nepali Congress, UML and Tarai Madhesh Loktantrik Party for creating fissures in the Madhesi Forum camp.
Nepal's Terai-based party moves towards formal split Zee News
Maoists, key Madhesi group enforce shutdown in 30 districts Press Trust of India
Nepali cabinet expanded with 8 more ministers sworn in People's Daily Online The cabinet expansion has seen dissent among almost all the constituent parties.
Maoists, key Madhesi group enforce shutdown in 30 districts Press Trust of India
Nepal's Maoists 'threaten' to take up arms again Times of India
Sujata elevated as Nepal's Foreign Minister, party feud continues Telegraphnepal.com Keeping the intense inner party feud in the Nepali Congress, the United Marxist Leninists and the Madhesi Janadhikar Forum intact ..The MJF has forwarded claims for Five Ministers and four State ministers ..... Upendra Yadav, the MJF party president called it a conspiracy hatched by the UML, NC and Tarai Madhesh Loktantrik Party to bring about a split in the Madhesi Forum. .... Decision in favor of Sujata was made at a time when Sushil Koirala and Ram Chandra Poudel were out of the valley. .... Dr. Rizal is a US Green card holder. ..... Except Sujata- a defeated CA election candidate, majority of the ministers representing the NC are considered as close to the Sher Bahadur Deuba faction ....The UML which is engulfed in inner party feud between the party president Jhala Nath Khanal Faction and senior leader K.P. Oli faction could not sort out the list of leaders to represent the party in the government.
Sujata elevated as Nepal's Foreign Minister, party feud continues Telegraphnepal.com Keeping the intense inner party feud in the Nepali Congress, the United Marxist Leninists and the Madhesi Janadhikar Forum intact ..The MJF has forwarded claims for Five Ministers and four State ministers ..... Upendra Yadav, the MJF party president called it a conspiracy hatched by the UML, NC and Tarai Madhesh Loktantrik Party to bring about a split in the Madhesi Forum. .... Decision in favor of Sujata was made at a time when Sushil Koirala and Ram Chandra Poudel were out of the valley. .... Dr. Rizal is a US Green card holder. ..... Except Sujata- a defeated CA election candidate, majority of the ministers representing the NC are considered as close to the Sher Bahadur Deuba faction ....The UML which is engulfed in inner party feud between the party president Jhala Nath Khanal Faction and senior leader K.P. Oli faction could not sort out the list of leaders to represent the party in the government.
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