Best Possible Scenario: How It Could Unfold

3 Scenarios: Election, Revolution, Chaos

1. The eight parties agree to hold completely proportional elections to the constituent assembly. Every third name on a party's list must be female. Other than that there are no rules. Madhesi, Janajati and Dalit parties contest.
   1. Elections are held on November 22. The result is a hung constituent assembly. No party gets more than 15% of the votes cast. The majority coalition forms the government. The assembly takes three years to draw a new constitution for the country in which all decisions are taken by a two-third majority.
      1. The country is declared a republic on day one of the constituent assembly. Ram Raja Prasad Singh becomes the first president of Nepal.
      2. Within a year a map for federalism is agreed upon. Within six months of that elections are held for state governments in each of the new states. The states draw their state constitutions and demarcate their village/town constituencies. Local elections are held within a year of the state elections.
      3. Within six months of the assembly formation a formula is agreed upon for the final shape of the Nepal Army. 30,000 strong. 30% Madhesi, 30% Janajati, 30% Bahun, Chhetri, Thakuri, 10% Dalit. Half women in each category. Those from the Nepal Army and the Maoist Army that do not get absorbed are absorbed into the private sector of the economy. Some are sent to school, college, vocational training, some are given small loans to start small businesses, some are sent for foreign employment. Soldiers from the armed Madhesi groups are also allowed to compete for the 30,000 slots as are the common people.
      4. The state is restructured. The number of federal employees goes down from 100,000 to 25,000. Of the 25,000 also, many lose jobs to make room for DaMaJaMa participation. Those losing jobs are absorbed into the private sector with government help. They are compensated so they can perhaps start small businesses.
      5. Each state forms its own bureaucracy and police force. The recruitment formula has to be passed by the state parliament and the competition for the state jobs have to be transparent.
      6. At the end of the three year period, there are a total of 100,000 bureaucrats, 40,000 police, and 30,000 soldiers on state payroll at all levels of government put together.
      7. The country is declared a federal republic of state funded parties at the end of the three year period. The Maoists announce no more revolutions are necessary.
      8. Parliamentary elections are held at the end of the three year period. It is again a hung parliament. No party gets more than 15% of the votes.
      9. The president is directly elected. A second round is held between the top two candidates because no candidate was able to get a majority.
2. The eight parties continue with their roadmap of disrespect for the Madhesi Kranti, no respectful talks with the MJF or the two JTMMs, and mixed election whereby they are not capable of drawing down the 240 constituencies in a fair manner, their formula for 240 seats through proportional election goes haywire because the Congressi Poudel makes promises on behalf of eight parties to various groups and that angers the other parties.
   1. The Maoists break away from the government. They start with street protests.
   2. Koirala does not budge. Elections are announced. A month later Koirala announces elections are postponed. They will be held in April based on the same mixed formula but with a better law and order situation, and better weather conditions.
   3. The Maoist protests turn into a full fledged movement.
   4. The MJF launches its own full fledged movement.
   5. The armed Madhesi groups get excited.
   6. The Koirala government collapses because his announced elections turn out to be a farce like the king's municipal elections.
   7. A new interim parliament is formed that has 300 total members. 30% Madhesi, 30% Janajati, 30% Bahun, Chhetri, Thakuri, 10% Dalit. Half women in each category. A new interim government is formed. The country is declared a federal republic immediately. Interim governments are formed in the eight interim states.
   8. Elections to the constituent assembly are announced to be held in April 2008.
3. The situation goes out of hand. There is full fledged civil war.

In The News

Govt not serious over talks, says MRPF Kantipur Madhesi People's Rights' Forum (MPRF) Vice President and the MPRF talks team member Kishore Kumar Biswas ..... accused the government of trying to hold Constituent Assembly elections first and regarded the talks as an attempt to distract the MPRF from its protest. ..... "The government is not only sidelining the MPRF but the Madhesi movement as a whole. It doesn't want to implement the agreements of the talks as well," he said adding, "We've arrived at the conclusion that now that it would be a waste of time to sit for talks with the government." "They are trying to use the talks team as a tool of distraction" ..... Ram Chandra Poudel informed that earlier agreements, including a 20-point agreement, reached after the first round of talks between the two sides held in Janakpur last month, couldn't be implemented. ...... "The government isn't trying to address our demands including the proportionate electoral system prior to the CA polls, " he said adding, "Now, we have to launch a nationwide movement in the same old manner."
Maoists cite 22 pre-requisites for polls, gear up for nationwide protests The CPN-Maoist on Monday announced that it will launch indefinite nationwide protest programmes if what it calls “22 pre-requisites for the Constituent Assembly elections” are not met immediately. .... a “new people’s movement from the government, parliament and the street” ...... the immediate declaration of a republic through the interim parliament is one of the pre-conditions for the elections as “royalist forces are conspiring to thwart the elections by instigating violence in Terai.” ....... insisted that the Nepali Congress and other parties clarify their positions on the monarchy before the polls. ..... Removal of all army men stationed inside the royal palace, basic security for the king and his family, the nationalization of the property of late King Birendra and his family and the property of King Gyanendra inherited by virtue of being the monarch ........ Democratization of the Nepali Army by immediately constituting a security council and the start of a process to merge the Maoist People’s Liberation Army into the national army, a high-level commission on the “disappeared”, and a broader round table conference to address the demands of all disgruntled groups ....... The operation of the coalition government on the basis of political consensus, proper attention to the cantoned Maoist combatants, release of their monthly allowances of Rs 3, 000, immediate formation of the local bodies and appointments of ambassadors, office bearers at universities, the National Human Rights Commission, the Commission for the Investigation of Abuse of Authority on the basis of a political consensus ..... immediate action against the perpetrators of the Gaur massacre and compensation to the families, immediate release of all Maoist leaders and cadres detained in Nepal and India, and withdrawal of all cases against the Maoist rank and file, immediate relief of Rs 100,000 to the families of the “martyrs of the people’s war” and free medical treatment to the injured ones. ........ a scientific land reform programme, a high-level land reform commission, a strong anti-corruption drive and a commission to restructure the state to ensure ethnic and regional autonomy with a right to self determination
Locals terrorised by landmines littered around Baglung army camp
INTERVIEW WITH PRACHANDA Transforming a country by addressing the class, caste, regional and gender issues in the transitional phase in a peaceful manner and being a part of the government to hold a Constituent Assembly election are rare experiments in communist movements. ...... analyzing all the revolutions and counter-revolutions of the 20th Century ..... the language that is used while in the White Area ..... Kathmandu still does not belong to the people. ....... At that point, the revolution could again turn violent. ...... a final battle can take place. ..... Some media houses that believe in reactionary violence are engaged in this propaganda. ...... when we joined the government, we were told that it would be run on consensus, which is not happening. If it continues this way, the relevance of us staying in the government will be over. ......... we have serious doubts about the polls taking place on November 22 ..... all the groups, including those in Madhes, which are creating troubles, must be controlled. ...... Since the Gaur carnage, our more than 50 cadres have been killed. ....... thousands of our fighters sacrificed their lives for the CA polls. ...... We have already formed a high-level committee to write an election manifesto. We will soon announce our first list of the candidates in the preliminary level. ....... As far as the proportional electoral system is concerned, this is what we have always believed in. ...... we have not said that we will shy away from the elections if the country does not adopt the proportional electoral system ..... a republican set up is a must .... we will not shy away from the elections if that does not happen. ....... there is a contradiction in the way the political developments are taking place and the way the Nepali Congress is working. ...... We doubt that Koirala is going to have a huge regressive and bourgeois change. ..... There won’t be the Koirala government if elections don’t take place. Not only will Koirala’s government go, the country will face a huge disaster. ...... The country will be caught in a complex civil war if the CA polls are not held in proper manner. ...... I doubt that the coalition will remain intact if the elections do not take place. Either the eight parties will again launch a fresh movement or some of the parties will join hands with the reactionary forces and some will reach out to the people. ....... The PLA cannot be used in course of the people’s movement. But, anything can happen ...... The PLA may not remain inside the ‘cantonments’. It will come out. .... The agreement was for nearly one year. If the election does not take place within that period then the UN’s role would come to an end. There will be no need of the UN to stay here. ....... The problem in Terai is of a serious nature. ... America has tried to marginalise the Maoists in Madhes. ........ influence of the parliamentary parties was almost non-existent in Terai. ....... the dacoits, murderers and criminals, who were chased away by our activists, have also organized themselves. Therefore, the Madhes problem is multidimensional. ............. We discussed about a tunnel war with India. I had prepared a document after studying the tunnel warfare of the Vietnam War. ....... There is a very deep-rooted relationship between Delhi and the Nepali Congress. Is that a secret? .......... That (12-point understanding) took place with the Indian government’s consent. ..... India did play a role to marginalize our party’s influence in Terai; it wasn’t good.
Cabinet meeting today differences regarding joint election campaign ...... the major issues that are being discussed are: organizing joint election campaigns and making a clear stance by all parties on a republican set up, among others. ...... the CPN-M had said that it would not express a common commitment to polls unless the Nepali Congress came up with a clear stance on monarchy.
निर्वाचन कार्यक्रम सार्वजनिक
ँचुनावमा आश्वस्त छौं’
दल निकै पछाडि चुनावको तयारीमा सबैभन्दा पछाडि कांग्रेस छ ....... 'पार्टी एकीकरणले अलमल भएको हो,' महामन्त्री विमलेन्द्र निधिले भने- 'हामीले राज्य पुनर्संरचनाबारे आफ्नो दृष्टिकोण बनाइसकेका छौं । अब छिट्टै घोषणापत्र बनाउँछौं ।' ....... प्रजातान्त्रिकले जिल्ला सभापतिलाई सम्भावित उम्मेदवारको नाम सिफारिस गर्न निर्देश गरेअनुसार तीस जिल्लाबाट नाम प्राप्त भइसकेको उनले बताए । ....... एमाले अन्य पार्टीको तुलनामा अगाडि छ ..... 'अब प्रशिक्षित अगुवा कार्यकर्ता प्रशिक्षणका लागि गाउँ-गाउँ जान्छन् ।' ..... माओवादीले आठ दलीय गठबन्धन चुनावप्रति विश्वस्त नभई तयारीको कुनै अर्थ नहुने बताएको छ । ...... संसद्को प्रमुख प्रतिपक्षी राप्रपा राष्ट्रिय महाधिवेशन तयारीमा छ । आगामी ८ गतेदेखि पार्टीको महाधिवेशन हुँदैछ । ..... 'तर चुनावी वातावरण बनाउन सरकार असफल भइरहेको छ ।'
ज्वालासिंहद्वारा संघर्षको घोषणा विराटनगर, भदौ २ - जनतान्त्रिक तराई मुक्ति मोर्चा -ज्वाला सिंह) ले एक महिना लामो संघर्षको कार्यक्रम सार्वजनिक गरेको छ । मोर्चाले राज्यसत्ताले गरेको वार्ताको आह्वानलाई नाटकको संज्ञा दिँदै स्थानीय निकायको गठन गर्न लागेको आरोप लगाउँदै संविधानसभाको चुनावले तराईको मुक्ति नहुने धारणा सार्वजनिक गरेको छ । मोर्चाका अध्यक्ष ज्वाला सिंहले आइतबार विज्ञप्ति जारी गरी तराईमा संविधानसभाको निर्वाचन गराउन नैतिक आधार सरकारलाई नभएको बताएका छन् । सरकारले वार्ताका सर्त पूरा नगरेको र मोर्चाले तीन महिना युद्धविराम गर्दा पनि सरकारले वार्ताको वातावरण नबनाएको सिंहले बताएका छन् ।
चुनावी अभियान लिएर एमाले गाउँमा
संविधानसभा लक्ष्य
सधैं सारिरहे निर्वाचन कहिले गर्ने ?
तराईको राजनीति राजनीतिक हत्या-हिंसाबाट आक्रान्त तराई वषर्ा, बाढी र डुबानजस्ता प्राकृतिक प्रकोपबाट झनै मर्माहत छ ...... मधेस आन्दोलनयता साम्प्रदायिक हिंसा सुरु भएको भनिएको तराईमा यस विपतको घडीमा सबै क्षेत्रले सहयोग गरेका छन् । सहायता कोषका अधिकांश दातामा पहाडे मूलको बहुलता देखिन्छ । ....... काठमाडौंका सत्तारुढ र तराईको अभिजात्य वर्गबीच स्वार्थको द्वन्द्व भएर नै तराईमा डढेलो लागेको हो । ..... मानौं्र मधेस मुक्त भयो, त्यसको फाइदा तराईका हरिजन, मुसहर र डोम समुदायले पाउँछ ? अहँ पाउँदैनन् । पाउने यादव, तेली, राजपुत र मधेसी बाहुनहरू हुन्, जसको राजनीतिमा बहुलता छ । .... अहिले समग्र पहाडे-मधेसी सबैले सहयोग गरेको समयमा ज्वालासिंह र गोइत कहाँ छन् ? बाँकी नागराज, कोब्रा, गोमन, करेत, धामन, टाइगर, सिंह आदि बाढीमा बगेका त होइनन् ? ....... संघीय शासन व्यवस्थामा 'समग्र मधेस, एक प्रदेश' नाराको आधार ..... अहिलेजस्तो सिंहदरबारको आदेश भोलि चल्दैन, संघीय शासन व्यवस्थामा । केन्द्रीय सरकारको अधिकार सूची, प्रादेशिक सरकारको अधिकार सूची तथा समवर्ती अधिकारको सूचीमा बाँडिएको अवस्थामा मधेसले आफ्नो काम गर्न पहाडमा निर्भर हुनुपर्छ । त्यस्तो अवस्थामा मधेसले के गर्छ, यो विचारणीय विषय हो । जलस्रोतको उपयोगमा देखिने ठूलो समस्या अहिले यही बाढीको समयमा प्रकट भएको छ ।
पश्चिम सेतीमा ँराष्ट्रवाद’ यो आयोजना बन्नै हुँदैन भन्ने पक्षमा अरुण-३ मा जस्तै विभिन्न एनजीओ र 'विज्ञ' लागेका छन् । कुनै विकास निर्माण हुन लाग्यो भने हाम्राे 'देशभक्ति' एकाएक जागेर आइहाल्छ ..... हिमाञ्चल प्रदेशमा ३० हजार मेगावाट जलविद्युत् उत्पादन हुने क्ष्ामता छ, त्यो पूरा हुन लागिसकेको छ । हामीकहाँ दर्जनौं आयोजना छन् । प्रत्येक सेकेन्ड यहाँबाट पानी बगेको बग्यै छ । ..... सन् २०२७ सम्म नेपाललाई ४ हजार मेगावाटभन्दा बढी बिजुली चाहिँदैन । ७ सय ५० मेगावाट निर्यात गर्दैमा हामी रित्तिन्छौं ? ..... पश्चिम सेती आए भारतका विभिन्न सहरमा 'बहादुर' बन्न जानुपर्दैन ।

ँअपरेसन मुस्ताङ’ बेलायती सहयोगमा सञ्चालित गुप्तचरी प्रोजेक्टको भित्री कथा करबि ३२ करोड रुपियाँ खर्च गरएिको यो अपरेसन आफ्नो राजधानी लन्डनमै विश्वभरका विद्रोही कम्युनिस्टहरूको छाता सङ्गठन 'रमि' को कार्यालय खोल्न दिने बेलायत सरकारको सहयोगमा सञ्चालित थियो । ....... तत्कालीन राजनीतिक नेतृत्व मात्र होइन, सम्भवतः सेनालाई पनि यसबारे केही थाहा थिएन .... राजधानीभित्र तीन ठाउँमा 'सेफ हाउस' हरू बनाइएका थिए ..... अपरेसनमा संलग्न बेलायती अधिकारीहरूको तलब, भत्ता, आवास खर्च सबै पथ्र्यो भने भौतिक सहयोग अन्तर्गत नाइटभिजन वाइनाकुलर, सवारीसाधन र अपरेसनसम्बद्ध ३५ गुप्तचरको व्यक्तिगत सुरक्षाका लागि एकएक थान पेस्तोलसमेत उपलब्ध ...... एमआई-६ का एक जासुस एन्ड्रयु म्याकस भर्खरै अफगानिस्तानबाट नेपालको मोर्चा सम्हाल्न आइपुगेका ..... प्रमुख कार्य थियो, माओवादी र माओवादीसँग सम्बन्धित सूचनाहरू सङ्कलन गर्न ...... गुप्तचरका मोबाइल महसुल, खाना, खाजा खर्च बेहोर्ने मात्र होइन, उनीहरूलाई विशेष भत्तासमेत ..... अपरेसनसम्बद्ध सबै वाकीटकी बोक्थे, त्यसका लागि राअवि हाताको नवनिर्मित भवनमाथि र फुल्चोकीमा एफएम स्टेसनजत्तिकै शक्तिशाली 'वेभ' को दुई टावरसमेत निर्माण गरििदएको थियो बेलायत सरकारले । अपरेसनसम्बद्ध एक अधिकृतका अनुसार, केहीलाई त 'बगिङ्' र 'इन्टरसेप्सन' उपकरणसमेत दिएको थियो बेलायत सरकारले । 'बगिङ्' भनेको एउटा यस्तो सूक्ष्म यन्त्र हो, जुन कुनै एक ठाउँमा जडान गरििदए त्यहाँ भएका संवाद अर्को कुनै ठाउँमा बसेर सुन्न सकिन्छ । त्यस्तै 'इन्टरसेप्सन' उपकरण टेलिफोन 'ट्याप' गर्न प्रयोग गरन्िछ । .............. हार्कको आवरणमा काम गर्न .... यस आवरणमा काम गर्दा कतिपय गुप्तचरहरूलाई सेनाले माओवादी पो हो कि भनेर कुटपिटसमेत गरेको ...... जनआन्दोलन-२ मार्फत राजाको शासन ढलेर लोकतन्त्रको स्थापना भएपछि भने अपरेसनको औचित्यमाथि नै प्रश्न खडा भयो ...... "हिजो जसरी राष्ट्रको आवश्यकता अनुरूप यो अपरेसन माओवादीविरुद्ध सञ्चालित थियो, अहिलेको नेतृत्वले आज त्यसरी नै संविधानसभा चुनावविरोधी शक्तिविरुद्ध सञ्चालन गर्न सक्नुपथ्र्यो ...... अपरेसनका नाममा व्यापक रूपमा आर्थिक घोटाला भएकाले .... निर्माण गरििदएको भवनदेखि उपलब्ध स्रोत-साधनमा व्यापक भ्रष्टाचार गरएिकाले ..... भवन निर्माण खर्च एक करोड ३५ लाख रुपियाँ देखाई त्यसमा करबि ५० लाख बराबर भ्रष्टाचार गरएिको ...... बेलायत सरकारबाट प्राप्त भौतिक सामग्री पनि अपरेसन सम्बद्धहरूले भारतसम्म पुर्‍याएर आफूखुसी बिक्री गरसिकेका छन् ..... नेपाल को अनुसन्धानबाट सहयोगस्वरूप आएको १४ गाडी र ३५ मोटरसाइकल अपरेसनसम्बद्ध अधिकारीहरूले आफ्ना नाममा दर्ता गरेको

जाति-क्षेत्र ः रणबहादुर रावल केन्द्रीय सरकारमा देशको मुद्रा, सेना, सुरक्षा, युद्धको घोषणा, सुपुर्दगी, विदेश नीति, सन्धि-सम्झौता, भन्सार आदि अधिकार रहन्छ भने अन्य अधिकार केन्द्रीय सरकारसरहका क्षेत्रीय, प्रान्तीय र भौगोलिक सरकारलाई प्राप्त हुन्छ । ....... जातजाति जनजातिका आधारमा छुट्याइँदैन, बरु उनीहरूको राजनीतिक हैसियत, सामाजिक, आर्थिक, सांस्कृतिक पहिचानमा आत्मनिर्णय गर्न स्वतन्त्र छाडेर राज्यको मूलप्रवाहमा समावेश गराइन्छ । ...... समावेशी सङ्घीय राज्य बनाउँदा नेपालको प्राकृतिक एवम् भौगोलिक विशिष्ठताका आधारमा हिमाल, पहाड र तराईको भू-भाग पर्ने गरी सन्तुलित रूपमा पाँच सङ्घीय राज्य छुट्याउनु उचित हुन्छ । ......... कणर्ाली वा खप्तड राज्य, राप्ती राज्य, गण्डकी वा लुम्बिनी राज्य, वाग्मती राज्य, र कोसी राज्य ..... नेपालमा मुख्यतः ५९ वटा जनजाति, २२ दलित, २९ पिछडिएको वर्ग, चार वर्ण ३६ जातजाति, ९२ भाषाभाषी र चार धर्म देखिन्छन् । ........ मगर -७.१Ü), तामाङ -५.६Ü), राई -२.८Ü), बाहुन -१२.७Ü), क्षेत्री -१५.८Ü), नेवार -५.६Ü), थारू -६.८Ü), यादव -३.९Ü), कामी -३.९Ü) र मुस्िलम -४.३Ü) ......... लिम्बू, राई, मगर, नेवार आदि जनजातिसमेत आफ्नो क्षेत्रमा बहुमतमा छैनन

अभिमत ः रामरिझन यादव सिराहा नगरपालिकाको महेश पौद्दारबाट पाँच लाख, असनपुर गाविस-९, गोलबजारका मोहन तामाङबाट पाँच लाख र बेलहा गाविसका शिवजी साहबाट छ लाख गरी एक महिनाभित्रमै १६ लाख रुपियाँ फिरौती असुल गरएिको छ ..... यदि कुनै पार्टीको स्थापनाकालदेखि नै चरम व्यक्तिवादी सोच, निहित व्यक्तिगत स्वार्थ तथा एकअर्काप्रति रसि र आक्रोश हावी रहन्छ भने त्यस्तो पार्टीको कार्यदिशा कस्तो हुन्छ भन्ने कुरा सजिलैसँग अनुमान लगाउन सकिन्छ । हाल जनतान्त्रिकको कार्यप्रणालीमा देखिएका यिनै कमीकमजोरीहरू र त्रुटिका कारण त्यसले आफ्नो रणनीतिक लक्ष्य प्राप्त गर्छ भन्ने कुरामा कुनै पनि सचेत तराईवासीलाई अलिकति पनि विश्वास छैन । ...... सप्तरीको सीतापुरमा ज्वाला सिंह समूहले हत्या गरेका मोहन गौतम ठेलागाडीमा खेलौना बेचेर जीवनयापन गर्थे । यस्तै अनाहकमा ज्यान लिइएका निर्दोष रामहर िपोखरेल तथा नवराज विष्ट कुनै शासक थिएनन् । यसरी व्यक्तिहत्याको राजनीतिबाहेक चार वर्षमा एकपटक पनि कुनै सरकारी निकायमाथि आक्रमण गर्न नसक्ने मोर्चाहरूले शासकविरुद्ध आप\mनो आन्दोलन केन्दि्रत गरेका छन् भन्ने विश्वास गर्न गाह्रो छ । ...... पार्टीले एउटा नीति निर्माण गर्ने तर व्यवहारमा अर्कै लागू हुनुको मूल कारण भनेको अनुशासनको पूर्णतः अभाव हो । ..... अभिषेक र गगन सिंह नाम गरेका दुई व्यक्तिको नेतृत्वमा सञ्चालित उक्त समूहको क्रियाकलाप हेर्दा उनीहरूलाई जसले पनि प्रयोग गर्नसक्ने देखिन्छ । यसरी सशस्त्र युद्ध, सैद्धान्तिक ज्ञान तथा पार्टीको रणनीतिक लक्ष्यका बारेमा समुचित ज्ञानबिना नै कार्यकर्तालाई हतियार थमाउँदा जनताले कस्तो सास्ती भोग्नुपर्दो रहेछ भन्ने उदाहारण हुन् यी, जो ज्वाला सिंहकै गृहजिल्लामा भएका छन् । त्यसबाहेक साउन २१ गते रौतहट जिल्लाको रमौलिया बेरयिा गाविसमा डाँका गर्न गएका तीन जनालाई गाउँलेहरूले मारेपछि उनीहरू आफ्ना कार्यकर्ता रहेको ज्वाला सिंहले प्रेसमार्फत जनाउ दिएका छन् । ..... माओवादीको 'जनयुद्ध' कालमा पनि आपराधिक क्रियाकलाप नभएका होइनन् ..... जनतान्त्रिकहरूले सशस्  त्र युद्ध घोषणा गरेको चार वर्ष भइसक्दा पनि आफ्नो चिह्नसमेत बनाउन सकेका छैनन् । विद्रोहीका रूपमा त्यसको पहिचान कायम हुन बाँकी नै छ । यसबाट आपराधिक क्रियाकलापमा व्यापक वृद्धि भएको छ । ....... एउटा समूहले निष्कासन गर्नेबित्तिकै अर्को हतियारधारी समूहले प्रवेश गराएपछि अपराध नियन्त्रणको कुनै गुन्जायस नै रहँदैन .... तराईका जिल्लाहरूमा कानुनी राज्यको अवधारणा समाप्त भइरहेको अवस्था छ यतिबेला । जनतान्त्रिकका नाममा जसले जे गरे पनि हुने र कहीँकतै कुनै कानुन नलाग्ने हुनाले सम्पूर्ण तराई आतङ्कित छ । गाउँसहर सबै प्रशासनविहीनजस्तो छ । आपराधिक समूहहरू खुलेयाम मोटरसाइकलमा हतियार लिएर घुमिरहेको देखिन्छ । जसलाई जे मन लाग्यो, उसले जे पनि गर्न सक्छ, कोही कतै डरले बोल्दैनन् । शासनसत्ता आफ्नो हातमा लिएका आठै पार्टीका कार्यकर्ताहरू मौन छन् । ..... यस प्रकारका क्रियाकलाप नियन्त्रणका लागि गृह प्रशासनले शान्ति-सुरक्षासँगसँगै शान्तिवार्ता प्रक्रियातर्फ ध्यान दिनु आवश्यक देखिन्छ ।

ँ...भारतले राम्रो गरेन’ प्रचण्डसँगको अन्तर्वार्ता

Prachanda sets 22-pt condition, warns of 'people’s movement' NepalNews set 22-point precondition for ‘credible’ constituent assembly election and announced a series of protest programmes over the next two months. ...... announcement of republic from the parliament before CA polls and proportional electoral system. ..... the Maoists will be carrying out publicity campaign and cadres mobilisation in the first month, till mid-September, and ‘people’s action’, demonstrations and mass meetings in the following month. ..... three fronts - the government, the parliament and the street - ...... warned of a full-blown “people’s movement” if the demands are not met
Govt forms committee to nationalise King’s property
Eight parties hold discussion to end deadlock draw plans to organise joint election campaign in all the districts. ...... the Maoists have demanded clear stand of the Nepali Congress on monarchy before finalising the joint programmes of the eight parties. ..... summit meeting of the eight parties held on Saturday after five months failed to make any progress
Madheshi women for holding CA election on time Madheshi women have made public a 17-point Chitwan Declaration ..... 5-day Madheshi National Conference ..... the political parties should give 50 percent tickets to the Madheshi women for contesting in the CA election ..... Women representatives from Nepali Congress, CPN-UML, NC-D, Sadbhawana, among others, had participated in the conference. ...... Sarita Giri, who chaired the organizing committee of the conference, said an “inclusive” declaration had been issued on the basis of ethnicity, class, gender and religion ..... NC-D’s Malati Saha said that their election campaign would bring into track those elements who want to take the Madheshi movement towards a wrong direction.
NRN UAE committee welcomes NRN bill; demands revision the long awaited NRN Act did not address the problems faced by over two-thirds of total Nepalis currently living in the Gulf countries.

मधेशी मोर्चाके िलए फर्मुला

(१) पुर्ण समानुपाितक िनर्वाचन, अगर नमाने तो चुनाव बिहष्कार अौर चुनावको पुर्ण रूपसे असफल बनाया जाए
(२) िलस्टमें कमसेकम प्रत्येक तीसरी नाम मिहला हो प्रत्येक पार्टीका
(३) एक मधेश, एक प्रदेश
(४) संिवधान सभाके माध्यमसे बहुमत समीकरण बनाके सरकारमें जाना अौर सभी बन्दुकधारी मधेशी समुहों से अादरपुर्वक शान्ित वार्ता
(५) उसके बदले में बन्दुकधारी मधेशी समुहोद्वारा संिवधान सभा निबथोल्नेका अाश्वासन अौर मधेशी मोर्चाके राजनीितक पार्टीयोको चुनावके दौरान नैितक समर्थन
(६) मधेशके प्रत्येक गैर मधेशी उम्मेदवारका जमानत जफ्त, िवषेश करके पहाडी पार्टीयोके अध्यक्षोंका
(७) सरकारमें जाके मधेशी क्रान्ितके प्रत्येक शहीदको शहीद घोषणा अौर क्षितपुर्ित अौर प्रत्येक घायलको क्षितपुर्ित
(८) मधेशी मोर्चाके सदस्य पार्टी: मधेशी जनािधकार फोरम, सद्भावना (अानन्दी), सभी मधेशी सांसद िमल्के खोली जानेवाली पार्टी

महेन्द्र, वीरेन्द्र र प्रचण्डका सीडीअो अञ्चलाधीशहरू
Upendra Yadav Book 2
Upendra Yadav Book 1
Lull Before The Storm
I Agree With Prachanda On Republic And Proportional Election
Pahadi Prejudice
Madhesi Alliance Needed
Tehelka: Madhesi
Ridiculous Bahun Poudel
Talk To Goit
एक मधेश एक प्रदेश
Bahun Conspiracy To Hijack Constituent Assembly Elections
उपेन्द्र यादव: संवाद
Rajendra Mahto: Three Hours Of Video
मधेशी अान्दोलनको गन्तव्य: नभम्बर चुनाव
Rajendra Mahto In Town
Violence Is No Solution In the Terai
ICG: Nepal's Troubled Terai Region
Upendra Yadav: Five Hours Of Video
Upendra Yadav Was In Town
Nepal Weekly: Front Cover Story On Madhesi
िगिरजालाई पदमुक्त गर
Unification Formula For The Sadbhavana And The Communists
Proposed Constitution
समानुपाितक िनर्वाचनको बाहुन फर्मुला मधेशी िवरूद्धको षडयन्त्र हो
तराईमा िहंसाको राजनीितक समाधान छ
जनजाित र दिलतले पार्टी नखोल्नु मानिसक दासता हो
Nepali Times Poll: A Lot Of Room For New Parties
Completely Proportional Elections To The Constituent Assembly
द्वैध नागिरकता िबना नेपालमा अार्िथक क्रान्ित सम्भव छैन
Mayawati Has Lessons For Madhesi, Janajati, Dalit, Mahila
एक मधेशी पार्टी
Chitralekha Yadav And Friends


In The News

MPRF demands early talks, JTMM-J announces month-long protests Kantipur Yadav said that he urged the Prime Minister to resolve the ongoing crisis in Teria through talks to ensure that the elections take place on November 22. ...... the Janatantrik Terai Mukti Morcha-Jwala Singh (JTMM-J) has publicized a month-long agitation programme, declining the government’s call for talks. ..... Charging that the government was trying to reinstate the local bodies to hold the elections by staging a “drama of talks”, the armed agitating group, active in the Terai, has announced protest programmes such as a ban on Nepali films in cinema halls across Terai, transport and general strikes and even physical offense. ..... JTMMJ-J chairman Jwala Singh said that the government did not fulfill their pre-conditions set for talks even though they had declared a three-month long ceasefire to create an environment for the dialogue process.
Bandhas and strikes won't affect CA polls, says Jhalanath Khanal
Lawmakers flay leaders for failing to forge consensus on polls
EC publicizes election schedule two separate schedules for the first-past-the-post and proportional electoral systems. ..... for the first-past-the-post-system, the candidates will have to file their nominations from 10 am to 5 pm on October 5. ...... The commission will publicise the initial list of candidates on October 6. ..... The commission will then publicize the final list on October 10 and allot the election symbols on October 11. ...... for the proportional electoral system, the political parties must submit an enclosed list of candidates on September 30. ...... The enclosed list will be publicised on October 15. ..... the commission will publicise the final enclosed list of candidates for the proportional electoral system on November 2 and distribute the election symbols on the same day. ..... Voting for both the elections will take place from 7 am to 5 pm across the country on November 22. ...... vote counting for the first-past-the-post system will not start until all ballot boxes from all the polling booths are collected. ....... the commission will declare the candidates elected under the proportional electoral system on the basis of the proportion of the valid votes obtained by the concerned parties after the commission receives the final valid vote counts from across the country.
आठ दल बैठक अनिणर्ीत
कांग्रेसमा महाधिवेशन माग कांग्रेसको लोकतान्त्रिक गणराज्य अभियानले संविधानसभा चुनावमा पार्टी नीतिबारे निर्णय गर्न तत्काल विशेष महाधिवेशन माग गरेको छ । ..... अभियानले पार्टीको केन्द्रीय समिति बैठकसमेत अनौपचारिक तहमा मात्र सीमित पार्न थालिएकामा तीव्र असन्तुष्टि जनाएको छ । ...... भेलाले दुवै कांग्रेसलाई आन्तरिक लोकतन्त्रको मूल्यमान्यताका आधारमा पारदर्शी ढंगले अविलम्ब एकीकरण गर्न, संविधानसभा चुनावका लागि उम्मेदवार चयनको आधार र प्रक्रिया पारदर्शी बनाउन आग्रह गरेको छ । ..... संविधानसभा चुनावका लागि अनुकूल राजनीतिक वातावरण तयार गर्न आठ दलले लोकतान्त्रिक गणराज्य स्थापनाका साथै भावी संविधान निर्माणको आधारभूत सिद्धान्तको पक्षमा साझा सहमति र प्रतिबद्धता सार्वजनिक गर्नुपर्ने पनि भेलाको निर्णय छ । ..... मधेसलगायत मुलुकका विभिन्न स्थानमा भइरहेका बन्द, हडताल र हिंसात्मक गतिविधिप्रति अभियानले चिन्ता जाहेर गर्दै यस्तो अवस्थामा अविलम्ब सबै पक्षसँग परिणाममुखी वार्ता गरी र संविधानसभाको चुनाव गर्ने वातावरण सुनिश्चय गर्न सरकारसँग आह्वान गरेको छ ।
निर्वाचनका लागि सशस्त्र क्याम्प
राप्रपा राजावादी होइन ः राणा
एमालेद्वारा चुनावी अभियान माओवादीको रवैया र कांग्रेसले सत्ता सञ्चालनमा देखाएको प्रवृत्तिको विश्लेषण गर्दै ..... मतदातालाई सूचित गर्ने भन्दै जिल्लामा पहिलो पटक एमाले गाउँ प्रवेश गरेको हो ।
जसले जिते पनि संविधानमा राजतन्त्र राख्न सक्दैनन्’

Jwala Singh says his group will bar Terai people from voting NepalNews Jwala Singh described the CA election as a ruse and warned that the JTMM would foil it. He said the “regime of hill people" has no right to conduct election in “liberated Terai”. .... The two factions of JTMM that have shunned repeated calls from the government for talks have intensified targeted killings, abduction, extortion and seizure of lands in Terai districts in recent weeks.
MJF chief Yadav discusses Terai issue with PM Yadav told Nepal FM that they discussed on how it would be possible to reach a consensus on the talks being held between the government and the MJF. Yadav said he asked the PM to address the demands put forward by the forum during the talks hled in Janakpurdham a few weeks back. ..... Yadav further said the final round of talks between the forum and the government would be held soon.
Minister for two-phase polls, if security is inadequate the government has categorised districts in Terai under 'high alert' where the polls can possibly be disrupted. ..... government would hold the polls in these districts in the second phase if it could not be held on the stipulated time. He said the activities of the armed groups in Terai and Maoist affiliated Young Communist League (YCL) could hamper the polls. ..... claimed any party trying to boycott the polls will vanish from the Nepali politics for ever.
Civilian shot dead in Sarlahi In recent weeks, armed rebel groups have intensified attack on hill-origin people living in Terai.
Maoists did not put forth any proposal, says Sherchan "Our misgivings and doubts have ended. Even the Maoists have not said that they would boycott the elections if their conditions like republic declaration and proportional representation election system are not adopted"
Roundtable conference needed to resolve Madhesi issues, says Tripathy Hridayesh Tripathy claimed that palace was behind the unrest in Terai. He claimed that palace was using outfits like Jwala Singh to create the unrest. He also accused the palace of fomenting communal tension between Madhesi and Pahade communities. ....... also accused the major parties of trying to avoid Constituent Assembly (CA) elections by pointing at unrest in Terai. He warned that the nation will face unimaginable accident if attempts were made to convert the existing parliament into CA. ...... Claiming that the Madhesi movement lacked leadership, Tripathy said Madhesi leaders of all parties were coming together to register a separate regional party, which, he said, would contest the CA elections.

RPP doesn't favour monarchy: Rana Rana said that his party had to endure the wrath of the King's regime more than any other party when it was in force. ..... we had to pay a huge price for it… the party suffered a vertical split."

Eight-party meeting ends inconclusively The meeting could not reach to any concrete decision regarding the Maoists' 18-point proposal, which includes declaration of republic through parliament and adoption of proportional representation election system, among others. ..... Nepali Congress leader Arjun Narsingh KC. He added that the Maoists had put forth their proposals on republic and PR system for "serious discussions" and not as "preconditions" for the election.

Eight-party meeting begins; CPN-M presents 18-point proposal NepalNews Inter-party Coordination Committee .... Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala, Maoist chairman Prachanda, UML's Amrit Bohara and Jhal Nath Khanal, Nepali Congress (Democratic) president Sher Bahadur Deuba, Janamorcha Nepal chairman Amik Sherchan, Nepal Workers and Peasant Party chairman Narayanman Bijukchhe and Nepal Sadbhawana Party (Anandi Devi) leader Bharat Bimal Yadav ...... the CPN (Maoist) has presented an 18-point proposal at the eight-party meeting, reiterating its demands for announcement of republic before the polls, formation of inquiry commission on involuntary disappearances, roundtable conference of all sections of the society including Janajatis and Madhesis, release of political detainees, start of the process for 'merger' between the Maoist army and the Nepal Army ....... the Maoist side has also criticised the functioning of the coalition government demanding that the cabinet function by consensus
UML wants eight-party commitment to CA polls The Standing Committee also asked the government to reach out to all disgruntled groups and positively respond to their demands.
Bandh hits normal life in Chitwan Joint Republican Dalit Front .... Traffic on the Narangadh-Munglin road remains blocked with the protesters burned tyres and placed obstructions at differnt places. ...... a 10-point demand including 20 percent seats in all areas of governance including the constituent assembly (CA) to be formed by the November elections and declaration of republic before CA polls.
Congress unification process resumes the two task forces had reached an agreement on unified congress leadership in 49 districts of the total 75 districts
Dalits demand 20 percent seats in CA the Joint Dalit Struggle Committee (JDSC) .... “Although we did put forward our genuine demands in the talks, we found them (government talks team) not taking it very seriously,” said Maoist nominated lawmaker Padma Lal Bishwokarma, a member of the JDSC talks team.

Efforts on to hold eight party meeting on Saturday NepalNews Maoist leader Dr. Baburam Bhattarai, Congress leaders Ram Chandra Poudel and Krishna Sitaula, UML leader Jhal Nath Khanal and Congress-Democratic leader Bimalendra Nidhi met on Friday. .... agreed to end the ongoing budget session of the parliament. They said that once the session ends, MPs can spread out to districts and villages to create proper political atmosphere for the Constituent Assembly elections to be held in November.

Prachandapath, Gyanendrapath Nepali Times The behaviour of the king’s soldiers and the YCL was identical. The same arrogance and rudeness and disregard for the hardships of ordinary people.
Polls or bust Nepal has been unitary for nearly two-and-half centuries and a smooth switchover to a federal structure will need some ingenuity. ..... There are regional, ethnic, linguistic and cultural aspirations. In their obsession with the past, none of the mainstream parties seem to be aware of the challenges ahead. ..... The eastern tarai was the scene of this winter’s madhes uprising and it is where a majority of janajati own very little land and most dalits are landless. ..... the most unequal country in Asia. ..... a third of all Nepalis somehow survive on less than a dollar a day ..... nobody in power seems to be terribly enthusiastic about going to the polls ...... improving rural access to health, education, and social protection. More investment in rural infrastructure ...... Rajiv Gandhi famously remarked that only 15 percent of government money intended for India's poor ever reached them. Most of it leaks out in bureaucratic incompetence or corruption
Fleeing the flood Eighty percent of the farms in Dhanusha and Mahottari have been washed off. Some farmers want to salvage this year’s monsoon season and replant rice, but there is a scarcity of seedlings. ....... Armed groups in the tarai continued to threaten government staff, and civil servants use that as the excuse not to do anything. ..... “Riverbeds are rising every year and in many places they have risen higher than the farms on either side,” says Dhanusa CDO Ram Sharan Chimoriya.
After the deluge “We have got only one kilo of chiura and four packets of noodles to eat,” says Sita Debi, a mother of four, sitting on a wooden bed with four goats underneath. ...“We treat the goats like family,” she adds, “they are our only source of income. We have some rice in the storeroom at home but that is all rotted by now we’ll just have to turn it into fertiliser.” ..... their landlords are willing to loan them money at 36 percent interest. .... the real misery begins when the waters recede, when the floods are not in the headlines anymore
Mainly in the plains As far as Kathmandu is concerned, Nepal’s madhesis look like Indians, talk like Indians, behave like Indians, are pro-Indian. And some would even go so far as to say they are Indian. What they don’t know is that there is actually resentment in the tarai against the Indian government. The madhes’s relationship with India is complex and multi-layered. ..... across the border in India there may be general sympathy for the madhesi cause, but this has not translated into active support. ..... Madhesis feel that New Delhi has never supported them in their struggle for rights ..... New Delhi has taken them for granted, and always used them as a bargaining chip with pahadi rulers in Kathmandu. ........ From Delhi to Patna to border towns, politicians and bureaucrats were thrilled to see an erosion in the Maoist influence in the tarai when the movement began. ...... In Patna and Lucknow, awareness of the madhesi issue is limited. ...... the fractured nature of madhes politics doesn’t help. ..... Indian diplomats are telling the madhesi groups that if they want support, they must forge a common understanding, and make the most of the constituent assembly elections. At the same time, there are reports of intelligence agencies keeping channels of communication open with the armed madhesi groups.
India’s thali democracy poised after years of rapid economic growth to take its place as one of the giants of the twenty-first century. ...... No other country embraces such an extraordinary profusion of ethnic groups, mutually incomprehensible languages, religions, and cultural practices, as well as variations of topography, climate, and levels of economic development. ..... India has a remained a freewheeling multi-party democracy, corrupt and inefficient, perhaps, but nonetheless flourishing. ..... the simple principle that you don’t need to agree all the time, except on the ground rules about how you can disagree. ...... If America is a melting-pot, then India is a thali. Each tastes different, and does not necessarily mix with the next, but all belong on the same plate. ..... Mayawati, a dalit woman, has ruled India’s most populous state, Uttar Pradesh, as chief minister three times, and now enjoys a secure majority.
A king who could do no wrong a good student “always affable, polite and attentive, deferential toward his parents, wore jeans like other students at Harvard at the time, and retained his remarkable modesty even after he returned to Nepal and became officially...both an emperor and a god, albeit of a benign and approachable sort ........ such as his view on the appropriate solution of the Kashmir problem.
Maoist paradox

My comments have been misconstrued, says Deuba Kantipur Deuba was of the opinion that implementation of the full proportionate electoral system would violate the people’s right to elect a representative of their choice.

Talks between NSU and ANNISU-R cancelled; Valley campuses closed down NepalNews
Monitoring of Maoist army hasn't been effective, says Mahat The government has already spent around Rs 900 million for the upkeep of the PLA
Three more killed in floods; NA intensifies relief efforts
House passes CA Election Court Act The court has the authority even to cancel the election in certain areas where disputes have arisen. Martin calls for meaningful participation of women in CA where women are free and welcome to actively voice their opinions in an equal manner to others, rather than being a silent quota partner .... the representation of women should include women from the different ethnic, caste and regional groups of Nepal," Martin said in a statement delivered to the Madhesi Women's National Conference, Friday, in Chitwan. .... conditions which allow all parties – I stress all parties, not only the eight parties - to conduct their activities in all districts from now on without facing intimidation and violence
Media house owners say problems occured due to 'communication gap' Maoist trade union president and member of the interim parliament Salikram Jamarkattel claimed that the movement was initiated by the workers and that it has no relation with the Maoist party.
NC doesn't want election, says UML Minister Minister for Culture, Tourism and Civil Aviation Prithvi Subba Gurung, claimed that the NC does not want to go to the elections without first finalising its unification. ..... since NC thinks that it will lose if it goes to the polls without unification, it is not keen for the elections. ..... Minister Gurung also blamed the NC for the non-improvement in the situation of security. He said the Home Minister has failed in his job