Saturday, April 01, 2006

April 6,7,8,9, April 16,17,18,19, April 26,27,28,29


Time for movement is passe. Now is revolution time. There is no room left for dialogue, I think. The idea now has to be to get hundreds of thousands of people out into the streets across the country over a period of days to culminate in a unilateral declaration of the establishment of a revolutionary parliament.

That revolutionary parliament would be the 1999 House, but not bound by the 1990 constitution, and not lead by Taranath Ranabhat. It would declare the formation of a seven party government.

We could do it at the end of the April 6-9 protests, or we could give a second or a third try. The decision is for the seven party alliance to take.

I guess there would be one last chance for dialogue. If the king were to release all political prisoners and then come around to agreeing to a roadmap that would lead to a constituent assembly, then talks could happen. But that depends on the king making sense. He has not made sense since he ascended to the throne. What makes you think he will make an about turn now?

So to have a roadmap that depends on the king making sense is counterproductive. Leave that option open, but plan A should be to cut a roadmap that does not depend on the king at all.

April 6 would launch the movement, curfew or not. Disobey the curfew. Throng into the streets. (यो सडक ितम्र्ो हो) By April 9 the tsunami of people should have completely overtaken the streets. There should be people as far as the eyes can see. All indications are that the parties have learned their lessons from the January 20 clampdown.

Write To Bush, Condi Before Possible Clampdown
Leahy Amendment Says No Arms To Nepal
यो सडक ितम्र्ो हो
Kamal Thapa Is A Nazi
Why The Maoists Should Cease Violence
Hamro Nepal All Set To Be Launched
Kamal Thapa Going Jail, Kamal Thapa Chukkie Pissing
Dinesh Tripathi, Your Worst Nightmare

Likely the Nepali new year will see a new Nepali government of the democrats. If for some reason April 9 does not see the climax we expect, there has to be a plan B. That would be to learn lessons from the latest clampdown, and better organize the next round, to be held within 10 days, or something like that.

(1) Declare A Revolutionary Parliament

(2) Form A Seven Party Government

(3) Declare An Interim Constitution, Abolish The Monarchy, Declare The Interim President the Commander In Chief of the Army, renamed the Nepal Army with immediate effect. Send people like Kamal Thapa and Tulsi Giri to jail.

(4) Purge the army of its top brass and all its unsavory elements. Promote officers from the lower ranks with sound democratic credentials.

(5) Hold formal peace talks with the Maoists.

(6) Partially or fully integrate both armies, or dismantle both.

(7) Hold elections to a Constituent Assembly.

We have to have a concrete roadmap that looks something like this.

This roadmap I have outlined is one that assumes the king is going to keep being nonsensical. But he has the option to make sense, and in that case the 12 point agreement is very clear as to what to do. The monarchy's fate then is not decided by the revolution but by the constituent assembly. The army's restructuring also gets postponed.

ICG: Electing Chaos
Bloody Hell
The King Is Not Even Pretending
Republic Of Nepal Flag
Where Are The Second Generation Leaders?
भूपि शेरचन, गोपालप्रसाद रिमाल, प्रवर जिसी
Repressive Measures Intensify In Nepal Against Democratic Movement
Curfew? What Curfew? Royal Tamasha
Our Options
Curfews Will Not Save The Crown
India, EU, US, Japan, UN Should Be Thinking Economic Sactions
Verdict: Loss Of Crown, Property And Liberty For Gyanendra Shaha
Bamdev Gautam: January 20 On Schedule
Freedom Of Assembly Under Attack In Nepal
Janakpur Rally, Biggest In Nepal Since 1990

My point being we can not have only one roadmap regardless if the fascists in power clamp down hard or not. There has to be tit for tat if they continue with their pig-headedness.

There is this great sense of expectation. This regime should not be allowed a January 20 repeat. That is one certainty. Otherwise a revolution is a dynamic organism, it is hard to plan every detail. You have to play it by the ear, like jazz music.

Proposed Republican Constitution 2006

United We Blog

Patan Meet in the Eve of April Uprising
UWB in USA: Mr. Blogger Goes to Washington
Live From The War Zone. Thokarpa Aerial Attack
Indigenous Nepalis Rally Against Autocracy
Maoist Expects ‘April Revolution’ in Nepal
Nepalis in Europe Deliver Message To Their Prince
In Autocracy, Nepal Economy Goes Down
For the Final Assault: Nepali Democracy Movement

DFN Welcomes Dinesh Wagle To The United States. UWB in USA: Mr. Blogger Goes to Washington

Even If The Worst Fears About The Maoists Are True


I believe the Maoists when they say they are for a democratic republic, as opposed to a communist republic. The Maoists function in quite a transparent manner. The details of the Prachanda-Baburam fallout from early 2005 are on the web for the world to see. Similarly the Maoist conclusion that at this juncture of Nepal's socio-economic development, only a democratic republic is right. This is a conclusion they have reached through arduous internal analysis, and is not a scheme to hoodwink the democrats into a temporary alliance. As in, they will opt for a democratic republic even if they came to power on their own.

But let's assume that the worst fears about the Maoists are true, that these are bloodthirsty communists, mindless in their aims and methods, waiting in the wings to take over state power so as to butcher down a few hundred thousand Nepalis accusing them of being class enemies, that their alliance with the seven parties is dishonest. Let's assume all that.

If that be the case, it is extra important that the king handover power to the seven party alliance with immediate effect.

Why? Because that seven party alliance government will immediately end the global isolation of Nepal, and powers like India, Europe and the US will resume their military aid. A sophisticated military offensive to weaken the Maoists will become an option that does not exist currently. The RNA will no longer be castigated around the world.

But the military option will only be on standby. The seven party alliance has the political solution as its first option. They will invite the Maoists to peace talks, and subsequent disarmament to lead to elections to a constituent assembly. The roadmap is a pretty good one. If or not the Maoists are being honest, we will know ahead of time. And if they are being dishonest, Nepal as a country will be best positioned to seek a military solution to the insurgency under such a seven party government.

So even if the Maoists are being dishonest, and a military solution is to be sought, the only option the country has is for the king to handover power to the seven party alliance with immediate effect.

But the king will not go down that path.

That shows the king is not interested in either a political or a military solution to the insurgency. The king is not worried about the Maoists, or he would hurry to handover power to the seven party alliance.

The king and his coterie are only interested in keeping power to themselves. That is their one and only interest.

Write To Bush, Condi Before Possible Clampdown
Leahy Amendment Says No Arms To Nepal
यो सडक ितम्र्ो हो
Kamal Thapa Is A Nazi
Why The Maoists Should Cease Violence
Hamro Nepal All Set To Be Launched
Kamal Thapa Going Jail, Kamal Thapa Chukkie Pissing
Dinesh Tripathi, Your Worst Nightmare

In The News

Two policemen shot dead in Rautahat NepalNews
Maoists, security personnel violated international humanitarian laws during Sindhupalchowk incident
Nepali politics: On the collision course
Five Maoist commandos nabbed in the valley: Officials
ICJ calls on Nepal govt. not to renew anti-terrorism ordinance
Nepal, India renew Transit Treaty
Terror trail: the Maoist insurgency
Transferring Power To the People

Mass movement aimed at restoring people’s sovereignty: Koirala Kantipur
2 policemen killed, 2 civilians injured in Maoist shooting
Rare show for democracy by SPA, Maoist representatives
Swiss govt to hold meeting on Nepal
Upcoming showdown is Maoist programme: Thapa
FMs ‘requested’ to air govt propaganda
लोकतान्त्रिक आन्दोलनका चुनौती डा. बाबुराम भट्टराई
एफएमहरूलाई दबाबको विरोध
ँसञ्चार दुरुपयोगले नेपाललाई ककनी’
इटहरीमा विशाल प्रदर्शन
प्रजा परिषद् पनि आन्दोलनमा
राप्रपा पनि सडकमा

Nepal's pro-democractic parties determined to fight regime NewKerala.com, India
5 rebels arrested in Kathmandu ahead of Oppn. strike Hindu
Nepalese Economy down Due to Conflict, Says UN Study Nepal human Rights News
POLITICS-NEPAL: Lights Return but Spark Missing
Inter Press Service (subscription), Italy
New Nepal in New Year, Says UML Leader
Himalayan Times, Nepal
Seven-party pro-democracy alliance plans major protest in Nepal
Islamic Republic News Agency, Iran
Indian scribe lobbies for Nepal Maoists in Europe
Hindustan Times, India
UN warns Nepal civil war spilling to cities
Daily Times, Pakistan
Knowledge, practice key to protect rights: Martin Gorkhapatra
Activists demand release of Nepali Maoists jailed in India Kantipur Online
Nepal Parties Urge Citizens to Back Their Strike Call Nepal human Rights News
Nepal’s current crisis, future perspectives and practical steps Nepalnews.com
Terror trail: the Maoist insurgency
Nepalnews.com, Nepal
Nepal Supreme Court Scraps Provision of Divorce upon Infertility
Nepal human Rights News, Nepal
Nepal parties plan major protests next week
NewKerala.com, India
Caste-based Discrimination Endures in Nepal
OhmyNews International, South Korea
Nepal gunbattle leaves three dead in new fighting
Khaleej Times, United Arab Emirates
Healing the trauma of violence amid unrest continues in Nepal
Mennonite Central Committee
US rebuts Indian daily on arms resumption
DailyIndia.com, NY
US rebuts Indian daily on arms resumption NewKerala.com
Nepal govt vows to foil Maoist strike
CNN-IBN, India
Nepal: A Political Dumping Site in the Making
OhmyNews International, South Korea
Heading for a showdown in Nepal BBC News, UK
Government may impose curfew; disconnect communication services if ... Nepalnews.com, Nepal
Curfew, communication disruption probable: Rana Nepaleyes
‘Curfew, dead mobiles on cards’ Kantipur Online
Economic situation in difficult turn: NRB
Nepalnews.com, Nepal
Economic indicators paint bleak picture Kantipur Online
Economic outlook not encouraging: NRB Nepaleyes

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