The Maoists will end up with 240 out of 601 seats in the constituent assembly, looks like. That is nowhere close to a majority. If all the non Maoist forces were to come together, the Maoists will be the largest but a minority presence in the assembly.
Technically speaking a non Maoist government is still possible. Politically it might be desirable that all the other parties decided they are sick and tired of the muscle politics of the Maoists.
Morally it is not advisable. The largest party should have some say. But then after Rajiv Gandhi's Congress lost in 1989, it was still the largest party, but it did not get a majority, and so it stayed out.
Practically speaking what would be best would be to form an all party government with the largest party leading. That way the Maoists don't end up with all the plum portfolios. Maoists might get Defense, the NC might get Home, the UML might get Foreign, the MJF might get Finance.
Such an all party government will be a better way to check Maoist excesses than to sit outside and watch. Imagine how much worse the YCL will behave if the Maoists have both Home and Defense. Then they will behave worse at the polls two years from now. They might bring forth another Maoist sweep. Then what? You will wait four years?
The country gets declared a federal republic on day one. Then the assembly could vote to establish an executive presidency, or that could wait and for the time being we might end up with an executive prime minister and a ceremonial president.
If it is to be an all party government, the non Maoist parties get to argue, either the Maoists get the ceremonial presidency, or the executive prime ministership, but not both.
Best would be for the second largest party to get the ceremonial presidency. I recommend Chitralekha Yadav's name. She represents a few different marginalized groups. Then either Baburam or Prachanda get to be Prime Minister. The third largest party, the UML, gets the Speakership. The fourth largest party, the MJF, gets the Deputy Speakership.
Then the country can opt for an executive president in the new constitution.
If you try to form a non Maoist government, work on the new constitution will become hard. If you stay away from forming an all party government, that will be like giving the Maoists a blank check. Their behavior at the grassroots will get worse. So join and secure the Home Ministry for either the NC or the UML.
Ceremonial President: Chitralekha Yadav
Executive Prime Minister: Prachanda/Baburam
Speaker: Subash Nembang
Deputy Speaker: Karima Begam
Defense: Maoist
Home: NC
Foreign: UML
Finance: MJF
Form an all party steering committee. We don't want a Prime Minister like Girija making decisions on whim. All the party presidents are members.
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In The News
Maoists declare political revolution over, economic begins Kantipur New Nepal cannot be built without bringing about an economic revolution. ..... We will create ‘economic miracle’ in next ten years ..... “The private sector will lead the country’s economy and we will facilitate things for you (private sector)”. ... The new government will stress on new policy for tax system and end the culture of commissions and corruption ..... a new transitional economic policy with medium level development in the next 10 years, high level growth in 20 years and ultra-high level development in the country in 40 years.
YCL bullies Gagan, NC cadres Maoist-affiliated Young Communist League (YCL) on Wednesday barred Nepali Congress (NC) candidate under the proportional representation system Gagan Thapa and his team as they were traveling on a vehicle from going to Madanpur in Nuwakot district, where re-poll is scheduled for Thursday. Thapa and his team were forced to return to Kathmandu after being stopped at Kakani at about 8 pm. ..... Thapa complained that a local police did respond to the incident and a team reached there but they were helpless in front of the Maoist cadres. “This clearly shows how the situation of voters is in the place, where the re-poll is taking place”
Maoists attack, intimidate NC cadres "armed and violent Maoist cadres" allegedly vandalized and looted houses of NC leaders and cadres like Basudev Jangali and Basanta Sapkota, Area Presidents of Dang constituency-1 and 5 respectively. The Maoists also attacked and vandalized the house of Krishna Basnet, President of Rajpur village unit. .... the Maoists are still searching for persons deployed as NC representatives at the booth stations and have been continuing to attack such individuals. ...... "Around six to seven hundred NC cadres have been displaced from the district due to Maoist terror"
Mostly janajatis elected in western region The CA poll contenders from Lamjung, Manang, Gorkha, Tanahun, Gulmi, Mustang, Baglung, Palpa and Syanja districts are mainly from the ethnic groups.
Maoists unlikely to get absolute majority the Maoists are not likely to get more than 240 seats counting FPTP and PR together. .... In the remaining 16 constituencies they are likely to bag maximum of 10 seats. Because most of those 16 constituencies fall in Madhes region, where Madhesi parties are faring much better than Maoists. ..... the Maoists may require at least 62 more seats to get absolute majority ...... the NC and UML may get around 212 seats altogether.
NC, UML consult CA polls defeat the meeting has demanded local reports from the parties’ activists and agreed to take decisions regarding their participation in the future government after viewing the complete results of the CA polls.
Terai based parties bag votes in hills, mountains NepalNews MJF bagged 126 votes in Taplejung district and 114 in Sindhupanchowk district under proportionate representation system. The party has received 54 votes in Rolpa and 65 in Rukum, the heartland of the Maoists. ..... it even received one vote in the most remote district of Mustang, where the Mahanta Thakur led TMDP bagged seven votes. In Rolpa TMLP received 68 votes and 28 in Rukkum. ..... The Terai based parties did well in eastern and western Terai districts where their party activities remain non-existent such as Jhapa, Kailali and Baitadi. In Jhapa alone, MJF bagged around 10,000 votes.
Prachanda courts Nepal for UML's participation in new govt Nepal made it clear that the UML agrees to an all-party consensual government, but the decision whether the party should join the next government would be taken by its Standing Committee meeting to be held soon ...... reached a tacit understanding for a "working cooperation" between the leftist parties.
Indian envoy reassures India's 'active support' to Nepal
MK Nepal urges all to unite for establishing republican order
NC calls CWC meet to review party's defeat in polls
Repolling concludes peacefully in 45 centres
Bhattarai says King will be removed respectfully
Prachanda holds 'long and serious' talks with Indian FM He also informed that during discussion with the European Union including many other foreign countries, he avowed his commitment towards the peace process, multiparty democracy and economic development.
| CPN (Maoists) | 119 |
| Nepali Congress | 34 |
| CPN (UML) | 31 |
| MJF | 24 |
| TMDP | 7 |
| Sadhbhawana (Mahato) | 3 |
| NWPP | 2 |
| Janamorcha | 2 |
| Independent | 2 |
| 25 | Morang | 4 | Rama Nand Mandal | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 9894 | Elected |
| 26 | Morang | 5 | Upendra Yadav | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 27508 | Elected |
| 27 | Morang | 6 | Bhim Raj Chaudhari Rajbansi | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 17086 | Elected |
| 28 | Morang | 7 | Bijaya Kumar Gachchhadar | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 18416 | Elected |
| 33 | Sunsari | 3 | Bijaya Kumar Gachchhadar | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 23769 | Elected |
| 34 | Sunsari | 4 | Muga Lal Mahato | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 19945 | Elected |
| 35 | Sunsari | 5 | Upendra Yadav | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 23939 | Elected |
| 45 | Saptari | 3 | Mahesh Prasad Yadav | Sadhvawana Party | M | 10302 | Elected |
| 46 | Saptari | 4 | Renu Kumari Yadav | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | F | 12681 | Elected |
| 48 | Saptari | 6 | Mrigendra Kumar Singh Yadav | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 14028 | Elected |
| 49 | Siraha | 1 | Laxman Mahato | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 9814 | Elected |
| 50 | Siraha | 4 | Shatrughan Prasad Singh Koiree | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 11779 | Elected |
| 51 | Siraha | 6 | Raj Kishwor Yadav | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 15551 | Elected |
| 62 | Dhanusha | 4 | Sanjay Kumar Shah | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 13422 | Elected |
| 67 | Mahottari | 2 | Hari Narayan Yadav | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 7457 | Elected |
| 68 | Mahottari | 6 | Sharad Singh Bhandari | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 6862 | Elected |
| 71 | Sarlahi | 3 | Sumitra Devi Raya Yadav | Tarai Madhes Loktantrik Party | F | 11096 | Elected |
| 72 | Sarlahi | 4 | Rajendra Mahato | Sadhvawana Party | M | 17073 | Elected |
| 108 | Rautahat | 5 | Govinda Chaudhari | Tarai Madhes Loktantrik Party | M | 11732 | Elected |
| 110 | Bara | 1 | Saroj Kumar Yadav | Sadhvawana Party | M | 8182 | Elected |
| 112 | Bara | 3 | Pramod Prasad Gupta | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 16081 | Elected |
| 113 | Bara | 4 | Jitendra Prasad Sonar | Tarai Madhes Loktantrik Party | M | 9624 | Elected |
| 116 | Parsa | 1 | Karima Begam | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | F | 14614 | Elected |
| 152 | Nawalparasi | 5 | Ram Bachhan Ahir(Yadhav) | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 13641 | Elected |
| 153 | Nawalparasi | 6 | Hridayesh Tripathi | Tarai Madhes Loktantrik Party | M | 10029 | Elected |
| 155 | Rupandehi | 2 | Om Prakash Yadhav | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 10612 | Elected |
| 159 | Rupandehi | 6 | Omprakash Yadav | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 12170 | Elected |
| 160 | Rupandehi | 7 | Muhammad Okil Musalman | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 8121 | Elected |
| 162 | Kapilvastu | 2 | Dan Bahadur Kurmi | Tarai Madhes Loktantrik Party | M | 8434 | Elected |
| 163 | Kapilvastu | 3 | Brijesh Kumar Gupta | Tarai Madhes Loktantrik Party | M | 18126 | Elected |
| 164 | Kapilvastu | 4 | Ishwar Dayal Mishra | Tarai Madhes Loktantrik Party | M | 10394 | Elected |
| 165 | Kapilvastu | 5 | Abhisek Pratap Shah | Madhesi People's Rights Forum, Nepal | M | 15694 | Elected |
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