I believe the Maoists when they say they are for a democratic republic, as opposed to a communist republic. The Maoists function in quite a transparent manner. The details of the Prachanda-Baburam fallout from early 2005 are on the web for the world to see. Similarly the Maoist conclusion that at this juncture of Nepal's socio-economic development, only a democratic republic is right. This is a conclusion they have reached through arduous internal analysis, and is not a scheme to hoodwink the democrats into a temporary alliance. As in, they will opt for a democratic republic even if they came to power on their own.
But let's assume that the worst fears about the Maoists are true, that these are bloodthirsty communists, mindless in their aims and methods, waiting in the wings to take over state power so as to butcher down a few hundred thousand Nepalis accusing them of being class enemies, that their alliance with the seven parties is dishonest. Let's assume all that.
If that be the case, it is extra important that the king handover power to the seven party alliance with immediate effect.
Why? Because that seven party alliance government will immediately end the global isolation of Nepal, and powers like India, Europe and the US will resume their military aid. A sophisticated military offensive to weaken the Maoists will become an option that does not exist currently. The RNA will no longer be castigated around the world.
But the military option will only be on standby. The seven party alliance has the political solution as its first option. They will invite the Maoists to peace talks, and subsequent disarmament to lead to elections to a constituent assembly. The roadmap is a pretty good one. If or not the Maoists are being honest, we will know ahead of time. And if they are being dishonest, Nepal as a country will be best positioned to seek a military solution to the insurgency under such a seven party government.
So even if the Maoists are being dishonest, and a military solution is to be sought, the only option the country has is for the king to handover power to the seven party alliance with immediate effect.
But the king will not go down that path.
That shows the king is not interested in either a political or a military solution to the insurgency. The king is not worried about the Maoists, or he would hurry to handover power to the seven party alliance.
The king and his coterie are only interested in keeping power to themselves. That is their one and only interest.
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